Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 3.911888 4.202834 4.514003 4.873118 5.278108 5.723027 6.251999
2025-05-11 3.429085 3.833216 4.293431 4.862586 5.556572 6.387571 7.477492
2025-05-18 3.143597 3.606047 4.155078 4.867296 5.786074 6.960563 8.627739
2025-05-25 2.869347 3.350027 3.937389 4.725664 5.785511 7.209514 9.362616
2025-06-01 2.666799 3.158475 3.773653 4.623092 5.806468 7.468077 10.130792
2025-06-08 2.542002 3.051791 3.704206 4.630364 5.967059 7.930603 11.278043
2025-06-15 2.461818 2.994384 3.691072 4.707548 6.228020 8.569028 12.837297
2025-06-22 2.308415 2.829446 3.519957 4.544139 6.110031 8.593048 13.322076
2025-06-29 2.188689 2.702496 3.392000 4.431185 6.054660 8.706280 13.989159
2025-07-06 2.084540 2.590924 3.278164 4.329131 6.003987 8.816549 14.669157
2025-07-13 2.021168 2.531812 3.234167 4.327187 6.111729 9.213526 16.037581
2025-07-20 1.981402 2.503038 3.231040 4.386013 6.323512 9.826803 18.062604
2025-07-27 1.943427 2.479110 3.239482 4.473498 6.612033 10.671786 21.070675
2025-08-03 1.881294 2.418362 3.191010 4.468034 6.740835 11.236038 23.659343
2025-08-10 1.826980 2.365848 3.151151 4.472307 6.886335 11.863393 26.777090
2025-08-17 1.745731 2.270034 3.039728 4.347835 6.774780 11.903069 28.056008
2025-08-24 1.678519 2.192172 2.952074 4.257530 6.719490 12.062956 29.865605
2025-08-31 1.638356 2.152773 2.922075 4.263936 6.854418 12.700805 33.919976
2025-09-07 1.614483 2.136577 2.927362 4.331895 7.121121 13.729071 40.585815
2025-09-14 1.546824 2.051321 2.818316 4.187928 6.930956 13.526578 41.322869
2025-09-21 1.492269 1.984374 2.736201 4.088214 6.826464 13.542223 43.286688
2025-09-28 1.442718 1.923536 2.661603 3.997979 6.734340 13.578244 45.468374
2025-10-05 1.413805 1.893532 2.635955 3.996259 6.835478 14.188644 51.848444